Monday, September 15, 2014

Update, Operation: DUBIOUS WORTH

Efficient !!!


The Australian forces will be initially based at Al Minhad Air Base in the UAE, about 1,500 kilometres south-east of Baghdad. With most of the operations against IS expected to be conducted taking place north and west of the Iraqi capital, if they are committed to operations missions of five or more hours for the Super Hornet crews will be common.

$A23,000 per flight hour. 900 miles SE of Baghdad. That and tanker gas... whatever the over-priced PGM that is used costs...

...to take out a Toyota truck or a few dirt insurgents.

A defence contractor's dream.

---

-New Defence White Paper fails to address Australia's core security needs
-2009 Defence White Paper Fantasy
-Analysing "The ADF Air Combat Capability- On the Record"
-Find out who is responsible for the Air Warfare Destroyer mess
-Analysis of Defence Materiel Organisation Major Projects Management and What Needs to be Fixed
-New DMO Boss warns the staff that business as usual is over
-How dangerous is the Defence Material Organisation to our Defence Industry?
-Australia's Failing Defence Structure and Management Methodology
-More on the dud-jamming gear Defence wants to buy
-ADF cost per flying hour
-I will wipe out bullying vows new Defence chief (Houston 2005)
-Vacancy
-Put Vol 2 Report of DLA Piper Review into the light of day
-Rory and Jim
-Parasitism as an Abstraction for Organizational Dysfunctions
-Hobart-class "Air Warfare Destroyer" to be fielded with obsolete radar guidance technology
-The Decay Of Critical Military Thinking And Writing-With Particular Reference To The RAAF
-Newspaper guy gets it right about sub project.... big time
-The great M-1 tank myth
-*UPDATE* Fear and loathing in Canberra - Audit released on MRH-90 helicopter project 
-RAN bullies contractor over Collins sub replacement
-2014-15 ADF budget shocker - Star-ranks
-Air Warfare Destroyer -- Billions, not millions over budget
-Australia's M-1 tanks are... a downgrade compared to what it had

JSF hopes and dreams...early days of the Ponzi Scheme

We have seen it before. But always keep this PDF handy to compare the dream vs. reality with the F-35 program.

I wonder what general Kenne is doing today?




---

-Time's Battleland - 5 Part series on F-35 procurement - 2013 
-Summary of Air Power Australia F-35 points
-Bill Sweetman, Aviation Week and the F-35
-U.S. Government Accounting Office (GAO) F-35 reports
-F-35 JSF: Cold War Anachronism Without a Mission
-History of F-35 Production Cuts
-Looking at the three Japan contenders (maneuverability)
-How the Canadian DND misleads the public about the F-35
-Value of STOVL F-35B over-hyped
-Cuckoo in the nest--U.S. DOD DOT&E F-35 report is out
-6 Feb 2012 Letter from SASC to DOD boss Panetta questioning the decision to lift probation on the F-35B STOVL.
-USAFs F-35 procurement plan is not believable
-December 2011 Australia/Canada Brief
-F-35 Key Performance Perimeters (KPP) and Feb 2012 CRS report
-F-35 DOD Select Acquisition Report (SAR) FY2012
-Release of F-35 2012 test report card shows continued waste on a dud program
-Australian Defence answers serious F-35 project concerns with "so what?"
-Land of the Lost (production cut history update March 2013)
-Outgoing LM F-35 program boss admits to flawed weight assumptions (March 2013)
-A look at the F-35 program's astro-turfing
-F-35 and F-16 cost per flying hour
-Is this aircraft worth over $51B of USMC tac-air funding?
-Combat radius and altitude, A model
-F-35A, noise abatement and airfields and the USAF
-Deceptive marketing practice: F-35 blocks
-The concurrency fraud
-The dung beetle's "it's known" lie
-F-35's air-to-air ability limited
-F-35 Blocks--2006 and today
-The F-35B design is leaking fuel
-F-35 deliveries
-ADF's wacky F-35 assumptions
-Gauging performance, the 2008 F-35, Davis dream brief
-Aboriginal brought out as a prop
-Super Kendall's F-35 problem
-LM sales force in pre-Internet era
-History of F-35 engine problems
-Compare

Sunday, September 14, 2014

Australia launches Operation:DUBIOUS WORTH

You can read it all here.

Big chief hits war drum.

8 Super Hornets at about A$23k per flight hour give or take. And some other things.

ISIL is Murder Incorporated. They should be treated as such. Anything that can't kill the enemy (cost effectively) is a waste.

The other problem with this is that it weakens us at home. Australia is supposed to be the regional specialist; that is, our back yard. Our small ADF needs to be ready (and resourced) in case something happens here.

All this will dish well for the limited thinking crowd that states Australia must spend 2 percent of GDP on Defence.

Ignoring of course the incompetence and waste and... that a real warfighter and power-hitter ethos could do well... even if ADF took a $10B haircut off of the annual Defence budget.

Problems here are institutionalized Group-think; a defective and highly wasteful leadership with too many flags, and, a useless DMO.

But OK... off on the fishing expedition.

So, what should really deploy? Special Forces. Hit quickly, violently; suddenly. Kill everything in sight. Leave inside of 30 minutes or less. Move on to something else. Over and over. Vermin removal with no bag limit. No holding of ground as that is a loser play.

Do that, and ISIL can't do business; including moving black-market oil.

No bases. No self-licking ice-cream-cone tail. No humanitarian nonsense.

Just tooth; that lives rough. Where support only is there for that killing mission.

Effective, and it won't cost much in regard to a budget. With the proviso that the "cost" could be those facing the threat. Usually things like this are not cost-free in soldier's lives.




---

-New Defence White Paper fails to address Australia's core security needs
-2009 Defence White Paper Fantasy
-Analysing "The ADF Air Combat Capability- On the Record"
-Find out who is responsible for the Air Warfare Destroyer mess
-Analysis of Defence Materiel Organisation Major Projects Management and What Needs to be Fixed
-New DMO Boss warns the staff that business as usual is over
-How dangerous is the Defence Material Organisation to our Defence Industry?
-Australia's Failing Defence Structure and Management Methodology
-More on the dud-jamming gear Defence wants to buy
-ADF cost per flying hour
-I will wipe out bullying vows new Defence chief (Houston 2005)
-Vacancy
-Put Vol 2 Report of DLA Piper Review into the light of day
-Rory and Jim
-Parasitism as an Abstraction for Organizational Dysfunctions
-Hobart-class "Air Warfare Destroyer" to be fielded with obsolete radar guidance technology
-The Decay Of Critical Military Thinking And Writing-With Particular Reference To The RAAF
-Newspaper guy gets it right about sub project.... big time
-The great M-1 tank myth
-*UPDATE* Fear and loathing in Canberra - Audit released on MRH-90 helicopter project 
-RAN bullies contractor over Collins sub replacement
-2014-15 ADF budget shocker - Star-ranks
-Air Warfare Destroyer -- Billions, not millions over budget
-Australia's M-1 tanks are... a downgrade compared to what it had


AC-208

A really smart DOD could show ISIS that their methods are unprofitable.

For example: hitting with special forces for the only purpose to destroy and leave...in minutes. Rinse and repeat. No reason to hold any ground.

How about something that would work good with drones, get in and out of a lot of fields (it is STOL) not cost a lot and hit well...at night:















(click images to make larger)



Thursday, September 11, 2014

Sub-par thinking

This is part of what happens when a lousy submarine requirement is written.

The SEA1000 requirement can only be met by....

A U.S. Virginia-class nuke submarine.


---

-New Defence White Paper fails to address Australia's core security needs
-2009 Defence White Paper Fantasy
-Analysing "The ADF Air Combat Capability- On the Record"
-Find out who is responsible for the Air Warfare Destroyer mess
-Analysis of Defence Materiel Organisation Major Projects Management and What Needs to be Fixed
-New DMO Boss warns the staff that business as usual is over
-How dangerous is the Defence Material Organisation to our Defence Industry?
-Australia's Failing Defence Structure and Management Methodology
-More on the dud-jamming gear Defence wants to buy
-ADF cost per flying hour
-I will wipe out bullying vows new Defence chief (Houston 2005)
-Vacancy
-Put Vol 2 Report of DLA Piper Review into the light of day
-Rory and Jim
-Parasitism as an Abstraction for Organizational Dysfunctions
-Hobart-class "Air Warfare Destroyer" to be fielded with obsolete radar guidance technology
-The Decay Of Critical Military Thinking And Writing-With Particular Reference To The RAAF
-Newspaper guy gets it right about sub project.... big time
-The great M-1 tank myth
-*UPDATE* Fear and loathing in Canberra - Audit released on MRH-90 helicopter project 
-RAN bullies contractor over Collins sub replacement
-2014-15 ADF budget shocker - Star-ranks
-Air Warfare Destroyer -- Billions, not millions over budget

Subs...yes subs.... again

It appears that some of the readership on this blog have a better appreciation of the Japanese sub issues than some of the cheerleaders in government.

Well, I guess, no surprise there.

I am curious how a Japanese sub will be considered "off-the-shelf" if there are so many different things that have to be done to it so as to meet a "requirement". That didn't work out so well with the Air Warfare Destroyer program.

I would op more for: "anything is possible if you are willing to lower your expectations."

Just a simple paper "study" shows that a true "off-the-shelf" sub design that is small and can do some mission-sets in our Northern waters could put $27B on the table for home industry over 30 years.

That isn't terrible. It is reasonable.

Acquire 12, simple, low-crew, not-do-every-exotic-mission-set subs for about $900M each.

Basic acquisition: $10.8B

About $1B per year for sustainment.

$30B sustainment over 30 years.

By the time you involve the defective DMO into the picture and other idiots you are going to loose some of that money to the trash bin.

$27B is what I think could be offered to industry. For 30 years. Your results may vary.

That is for a weapon system that will actually work. That is much more money for industry than any other weapon system thus far. Many of those: defective.


---

-New Defence White Paper fails to address Australia's core security needs
-2009 Defence White Paper Fantasy
-Analysing "The ADF Air Combat Capability- On the Record"
-Find out who is responsible for the Air Warfare Destroyer mess
-Analysis of Defence Materiel Organisation Major Projects Management and What Needs to be Fixed
-New DMO Boss warns the staff that business as usual is over
-How dangerous is the Defence Material Organisation to our Defence Industry?
-Australia's Failing Defence Structure and Management Methodology
-More on the dud-jamming gear Defence wants to buy
-ADF cost per flying hour
-I will wipe out bullying vows new Defence chief (Houston 2005)
-Vacancy
-Put Vol 2 Report of DLA Piper Review into the light of day
-Rory and Jim
-Parasitism as an Abstraction for Organizational Dysfunctions
-Hobart-class "Air Warfare Destroyer" to be fielded with obsolete radar guidance technology
-The Decay Of Critical Military Thinking And Writing-With Particular Reference To The RAAF
-Newspaper guy gets it right about sub project.... big time
-The great M-1 tank myth
-*UPDATE* Fear and loathing in Canberra - Audit released on MRH-90 helicopter project 
-RAN bullies contractor over Collins sub replacement
-2014-15 ADF budget shocker - Star-ranks
-Air Warfare Destroyer -- Billions, not millions over budget

Document showing reprograming of funds (F-35 mention)

Here is the PDF file that mentions the reprograming of operational funds.


.

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

F-35 LRIP-8

Another article from Reuter's chief F-35 fan-writer that somehow leaves out LRIP-8 long-lead costs. Hint: not counting mistake-jet modifications, this is how one really calculates the cost of a LRIP batch.

Toward the bottom of the page we have the following which will be repeat fodder in the next DOD annual test report:

Mahr said the overall F-35 program was doing "pretty well" but said he continued to worry about the pace of retrofitting existing jets to fix problems discovered during flight testing.

He said the Pentagon is also trying to increase how often the new jets are available for operational use. The goal was to boost the "availability rate" to 57 percent by the end of the year, up from rates of around 30 percent to 40 percent now.

Mahr said current rates were low because some components were not lasting as long as expected. The rates also include jets that are out for repairs and those whose engines must be inspected every three hours after the June engine failure.

Trying to pump up reliability on aircraft that have low-order functioning mission systems. But yeah, keep buying more prototype aircraft by any other name.


---

-Time's Battleland - 5 Part series on F-35 procurement - 2013 
-Summary of Air Power Australia F-35 points
-Bill Sweetman, Aviation Week and the F-35
-U.S. Government Accounting Office (GAO) F-35 reports
-F-35 JSF: Cold War Anachronism Without a Mission
-History of F-35 Production Cuts
-Looking at the three Japan contenders (maneuverability)
-How the Canadian DND misleads the public about the F-35
-Value of STOVL F-35B over-hyped
-Cuckoo in the nest--U.S. DOD DOT&E F-35 report is out
-6 Feb 2012 Letter from SASC to DOD boss Panetta questioning the decision to lift probation on the F-35B STOVL.
-USAFs F-35 procurement plan is not believable
-December 2011 Australia/Canada Brief
-F-35 Key Performance Perimeters (KPP) and Feb 2012 CRS report
-F-35 DOD Select Acquisition Report (SAR) FY2012
-Release of F-35 2012 test report card shows continued waste on a dud program
-Australian Defence answers serious F-35 project concerns with "so what?"
-Land of the Lost (production cut history update March 2013)
-Outgoing LM F-35 program boss admits to flawed weight assumptions (March 2013)
-A look at the F-35 program's astro-turfing
-F-35 and F-16 cost per flying hour
-Is this aircraft worth over $51B of USMC tac-air funding?
-Combat radius and altitude, A model
-F-35A, noise abatement and airfields and the USAF
-Deceptive marketing practice: F-35 blocks
-The concurrency fraud
-The dung beetle's "it's known" lie
-F-35's air-to-air ability limited
-F-35 Blocks--2006 and today
-The F-35B design is leaking fuel
-F-35 deliveries
-ADF's wacky F-35 assumptions
-Gauging performance, the 2008 F-35, Davis dream brief
-Aboriginal brought out as a prop
-Super Kendall's F-35 problem
-LM sales force in pre-Internet era
-History of F-35 engine problems
-Compare